Markets 5,342BreakdownPaper returnsEntry qualityBy dayCalibration

All 5,342Q right 3,669Q wrong 1,208Market closer 2,038Big misses 285Against the market 322Upsets 258

Question	Resolved	Outcome	Q's call	Market	Q	Q Brier	Market Brier	Forecasts
Kym vs. LeheckaYES: Jerome Kym · ATPNO✓RightPregame Q 25%Market 28% · Q 25%Brier 0.064 · Market 0.076Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✓RightPregame Q 25%	28%	25%	0.064	0.076	1
Zverev vs. FeryYES: Arthur Fery · ATPNO✓RightPregame Q 12%Market 14% · Q 12%Brier 0.015 · Market 0.020Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✓RightPregame Q 12%	14%	12%	0.015	0.020	2
Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on October 30?EquitiesNO✗WrongMarket 84% · Q 88%Brier 0.782 · Market 0.706Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✗Wrong	84%	88%	0.782	0.706	1
Fritz vs. FilsYES: Arthur Fils · ATPNO✗WrongPregame Q 52%Market 51% · Q 53%Brier 0.282 · Market 0.263Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✗WrongPregame Q 52%	51%	53%	0.282	0.263	2
Paul vs. AlcarazYES: Carlos Alcaraz · ATPYES✓RightPregame Q 81%Market 78% · Q 80%Brier 0.039 · Market 0.051Oct 30	Oct 30	YES	✓RightPregame Q 81%	78%	80%	0.039	0.051	2
Will the President's approval rating be between 38.3 and 38.5 according to RealClearPolitics?Mentions & countsYES✓RightMarket 81% · Q 82%Brier 0.034 · Market 0.038Oct 30	Oct 30	YES	✓Right	81%	82%	0.034	0.038	1
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 29 to October 31, 2026?Mentions & countsNO✓RightMarket 15% · Q 15%Brier 0.024 · Market 0.022Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✓Right	15%	15%	0.024	0.022	1
Rune vs. VacherotYES: Holger Rune · ATPNO✗WrongPregame Q 51%Market 56% · Q 51%Brier 0.257 · Market 0.318Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✗WrongPregame Q 51%	56%	51%	0.257	0.318	2
Tagger vs. ShiYES: Han Shi · WTANO✓RightPregame Q 31%Market 27% · Q 31%Brier 0.095 · Market 0.073Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✓RightPregame Q 31%	27%	31%	0.095	0.073	1
Above 8.4%PoliticsYES✗WrongMarket 39% · Q 39%Brier 0.372 · Market 0.378Oct 30	Oct 30	YES	✗Wrong	39%	39%	0.372	0.378	1
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in October?CommoditiesYES✗WrongMarket 19% · Q 13%Brier 0.755 · Market 0.669Oct 30	Oct 30	YES	✗Wrong	19%	13%	0.755	0.669	26
Mannarino vs. MedvedevYES: Adrian Mannarino · ATPNO✓RightPregame Q 20%Market 20% · Q 20%Brier 0.040 · Market 0.039Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✓RightPregame Q 20%	20%	20%	0.040	0.039	2
Will Piper Sandler (PIPR) beat quarterly earnings?EquitiesNO✗WrongMarket 58% · Q 59%Brier 0.355 · Market 0.344Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✗Wrong	58%	59%	0.355	0.344	3
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $208 in October?EquitiesYES✓RightMarket 53% · Q 50%Brier 0.305 · Market 0.257Oct 30	Oct 30	YES	✓Right	53%	50%	0.305	0.257	3
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 30?GeopoliticsNO✓RightMarket 28% · Q 40%Brier 0.162 · Market 0.080Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✓Right	28%	40%	0.162	0.080	2
Sun vs. LiuYES: Claire Liu · WTANO✗WrongPregame Q 60%Market 61% · Q 60%Brier 0.365 · Market 0.371Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✗WrongPregame Q 60%	61%	60%	0.365	0.371	3
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $50 in October?CommoditiesYES✗WrongMarket 14% · Q 12%Brier 0.776 · Market 0.749Oct 30	Oct 30	YES	✗Wrong	14%	12%	0.776	0.749	12
Will Cboe (CBOE) beat quarterly earnings?EquitiesYES✓RightMarket 57% · Q 67%Brier 0.112 · Market 0.193Oct 30	Oct 30	YES	✓Right	57%	67%	0.112	0.193	5
Eala vs. ShnaiderYES: Alexandra Eala · WTANO✓RightPregame Q 45%Market 43% · Q 41%Brier 0.165 · Market 0.188Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✓RightPregame Q 45%	43%	41%	0.165	0.188	4
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2050?EconomyNO✗WrongMarket 53% · Q 60%Brier 0.357 · Market 0.276Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✗Wrong	53%	60%	0.357	0.276	1
Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2100?EconomyNO✓RightMarket 21% · Q 21%Brier 0.046 · Market 0.044Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✓Right	21%	21%	0.046	0.044	1
Will General Dynamics (GD) beat quarterly earnings?EquitiesYES✓RightMarket 64% · Q 71%Brier 0.082 · Market 0.129Oct 30	Oct 30	YES	✓Right	64%	71%	0.082	0.129	2
Will Hess Midstream (HESM) beat quarterly earnings?EquitiesYES✓RightMarket 58% · Q 62%Brier 0.161 · Market 0.191Oct 30	Oct 30	YES	✓Right	58%	62%	0.161	0.191	7
Jake Delaney vs. Liam BroadyYES: Liam Broady · ATPYES✓RightPregame Q 68%Market 69% · Q 69%Brier 0.097 · Market 0.095Oct 30	Oct 30	YES	✓RightPregame Q 68%	69%	69%	0.097	0.095	3
Mert Alkaya vs. Yu-Hsiou HsuYES: Mert Alkaya · ATPNO✓RightPregame Q 43%Market 45% · Q 44%Brier 0.189 · Market 0.200Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✓RightPregame Q 43%	45%	44%	0.189	0.200	2
Badosa vs. DartYES: Paula Badosa · WTANO✗WrongPregame Q 72%Market 74% · Q 73%Brier 0.534 · Market 0.549Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✗WrongPregame Q 72%	74%	73%	0.534	0.549	4
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on October 29?OtherNO✓RightMarket 37% · Q 39%Brier 0.156 · Market 0.133Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✓Right	37%	39%	0.156	0.133	1
Jasika vs. Yun-Seong ChungYES: Yun-Seong Chung · ATPNO✓RightPregame Q 39%Market 38% · Q 40%Brier 0.163 · Market 0.147Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✓RightPregame Q 39%	38%	40%	0.163	0.147	4
Pohankova vs. ParksYES: Alycia Parks · WTANO✓RightPregame Q 40%Market 34% · Q 41%Brier 0.169 · Market 0.117Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✓RightPregame Q 40%	34%	41%	0.169	0.117	2
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?Tech & BusinessNO✓RightMarket 36% · Q 39%Brier 0.166 · Market 0.148Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✓Right	36%	39%	0.166	0.148	10
Demin vs. MayotYES: Yaroslav Demin · ATPYES✗WrongPregame Q 29%Market 24% · Q 30%Brier 0.496 · Market 0.578Oct 30	Oct 30	YES	✗WrongPregame Q 29%	24%	30%	0.496	0.578	3
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?PoliticsNO✓RightMarket 21% · Q 10%Brier 0.013 · Market 0.051Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✓Right	21%	10%	0.013	0.051	19
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 29?GeopoliticsYES✓RightMarket 70% · Q 72%Brier 0.085 · Market 0.097Oct 30	Oct 30	YES	✓Right	70%	72%	0.085	0.097	5
Sabres vs. DucksYES: Ducks · NHLNO✓RightPregame Q 43%Market 46% · Q 47%Brier 0.222 · Market 0.215Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✓RightPregame Q 43%	46%	47%	0.222	0.215	8
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 28?GeopoliticsYES✗WrongMarket 46% · Q 48%Brier 0.420 · Market 0.417Oct 30	Oct 30	YES	✗Wrong	46%	48%	0.420	0.417	2
Rakhimova vs. JointYES: Maya Joint · WTANO✗WrongPregame Q 52%Market 55% · Q 52%Brier 0.271 · Market 0.303Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✗WrongPregame Q 52%	55%	52%	0.271	0.303	3
Canucks vs. SharksYES: Sharks · NHLYES✓RightPregame Q 51%Market 64% · Q 62%Brier 0.145 · Market 0.131Oct 30	Oct 30	YES	✓RightPregame Q 51%	64%	62%	0.145	0.131	8
Shimabukuro vs. WongYES: Sho Shimabukuro · ATPNO✓RightPregame Q 36%Market 37% · Q 36%Brier 0.130 · Market 0.133Oct 30	Oct 30	NO	✓RightPregame Q 36%	37%	36%	0.130	0.133	2
Grizzlies vs. Trail BlazersYES: Grizzlies · NBAYES✗WrongPregame Q 23%Market 31% · Q 28%Brier 0.521 · Market 0.474Oct 30	Oct 30	YES	✗WrongPregame Q 23%	31%	28%	0.521	0.474	9
Sakamoto vs. Billy HarrisYES: Billy Harris · ATPYES✗WrongPregame Q 27%Market 23% · Q 27%Brier 0.530 · Market 0.589Oct 29	Oct 29	YES	✗WrongPregame Q 27%	23%	27%	0.530	0.589	4
Senators vs. KingsYES: Kings · NHLYES✗WrongPregame Q 45%Market 47% · Q 44%Brier 0.315 · Market 0.279Oct 29	Oct 29	YES	✗WrongPregame Q 45%	47%	44%	0.315	0.279	3
Will the Bank of Japan Maintain current rate at the October 2026 Monetary Policy Meeting?EconomyYES✓RightMarket 78% · Q 93%Brier 0.005 · Market 0.049Oct 29	Oct 29	YES	✓Right	78%	93%	0.005	0.049	2
Panthers vs. PackersYES: Panthers · NFLNO✓RightPregame Q 32%Market 37% · Q 35%Brier 0.127 · Market 0.139Oct 29	Oct 29	NO	✓RightPregame Q 32%	37%	35%	0.127	0.139	9
Troy vs. James MadisonYES: James Madison · College footballNO✗WrongPregame Q 90%Market 90% · Q 88%Brier 0.781 · Market 0.802Oct 29	Oct 29	NO	✗WrongPregame Q 90%	90%	88%	0.781	0.802	9
Florida Atlantic vs. North TexasYES: Florida Atlantic · College footballNO✓RightPregame Q 16%Market 19% · Q 18%Brier 0.033 · Market 0.036Oct 29	Oct 29	NO	✓RightPregame Q 16%	19%	18%	0.033	0.036	8
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?GeopoliticsYES✓RightMarket 70% · Q 71%Brier 0.095 · Market 0.095Oct 29	Oct 29	YES	✓Right	70%	71%	0.095	0.095	4
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on September 24?GeopoliticsYES✓RightMarket 53% · Q 59%Brier 0.171 · Market 0.223Oct 29	Oct 29	YES	✓Right	53%	59%	0.171	0.223	2
Capitals vs. PredatorsYES: Predators · NHLNO✓RightPregame Q 47%Market 49% · Q 47%Brier 0.221 · Market 0.241Oct 29	Oct 29	NO	✓RightPregame Q 47%	49%	47%	0.221	0.241	8
Islanders vs. WildYES: Wild · NHLNO✗WrongPregame Q 58%Market 62% · Q 56%Brier 0.320 · Market 0.389Oct 29	Oct 29	NO	✗WrongPregame Q 58%	62%	56%	0.320	0.389	8
South Carolina State vs. Morgan StateYES: Morgan State · College footballNO✓RightPregame Q 29%Market 29% · Q 31%Brier 0.101 · Market 0.086Oct 29	Oct 29	NO	✓RightPregame Q 29%	29%	31%	0.101	0.086	5

Show more50 of 5,342 markets

Updated Oct 30, 3:30 PM ET