Jul 16WinWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 22, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry79%Entry → Exit40¢→100¢Paper return+150%
Jun 30WinGPT-5.6 released by July 8, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry78%Entry → Exit53¢→100¢Paper return+88.7%
Sep 3WinWill the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit55¢→100¢Paper return+81.8%
Sep 1WinWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 15, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry75%Entry → Exit55¢→100¢Paper return+81.8%
Aug 30WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 2, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry64%Entry → Exit55¢→100¢Paper return+81.8%
Oct 11WinGemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry66%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Jul 15WinWill GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Aug 28WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 7, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry75%Entry → Exit65¢→100¢Paper return+53.8%
Aug 30WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 4, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry81%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 28WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by August 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Aug 28WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 9, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry79%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Sep 3WinWill there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry81%Entry → Exit73¢→100¢Paper return+37%
Sep 1WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 3, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 6WinWill the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on August 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Sep 1WinGemini 4.0 released by September 30, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Aug 28WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 15, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 26WinWill the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry87%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Aug 20WinNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Aug 28WinWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry90%Entry → Exit79¢→100¢Paper return+26.6%
Sep 6WinWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Sep 21WinWill the next Claude Opus model be released by September 27, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Oct 7LossNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry62%Entry → Exit48¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 22LossWill OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit71¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 6LossWill the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit86¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 6LossWill the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,100?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit70¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 3LossWill Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry84%Entry → Exit76¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 2LossWill OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 3, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit82¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 2LossWill OpenAI's Astra model be released on September 3, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry89%Entry → Exit81¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 29LossNext Mythos-Class Model released by September 1, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry63%Entry → Exit54¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 28LossWill GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry81%Entry → Exit70¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 17LossWill the next Claude Opus model be released by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry59%Entry → Exit18¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 17LossWill Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry62%Entry → Exit49¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 12LossWill Anthropic extend Claude Fable 5 paid-plan access again by July 12?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry95%Entry → Exit76¢→0¢Paper return−100%
