Will the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 97.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 20, 2026?

ResolutionResolved NO

YES payout0¢

NO payout100¢

VenueKalshi

Realized · held to resolution−100%$100 paper stake

Kalshi62¢ → 0¢

Our position · YES62¢ → 0¢

Signal endedOct 21

Forecast updated

Oct 20 forecast

December 2026 WTI is trading near 99.80 USD/Bbl, about 1.8% above the 97.99 strike, with only hours left before the October 20 settlement.

The contract settled at 98.54 on October 19 after touching a 99.71 session high, so it is already sitting on the right side of the threshold. Tight physical balances support it: on-land global stocks are at their lowest since at least 2016, the IEA sees the market in deficit through year-end, and Persian Gulf exports have collapsed amid repeated tanker incidents and attacks on Saudi energy targets. Easing Russian-energy restrictions and accelerated emergency-stock releases are the main offsets. A December settlement above 97.99 is likely.

No factor breakdown on this forecast.

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