Las Vegas Raiders17vs.New England Patriots won45

NFLFinal24h volume $1.1M

Market price

Oct 4 forecast

NO: Q 71.2¢ · Market odds 63¢ at forecast

Defense. New England has limited opponents to 17 points per game through three games.

Main caution: Las Vegas has scored far more points per game than New England.

Evidence and updates

Home field. New England plays at home.

Snapshot: 2026-10-04T17:34:45.294000+00:00 · Quote: price_observations · 2026-10-04T17:10:59.619310000+00:00.

Ask Q: Can New England reduce the turnovers that marked its first three games?

Defense

Home field

Main caution

Points to NO

New England's home defense and recent championship baseline provide a steep challenge at Gillette Stadium.
New England reached the Super Bowl in the 2025 season and entered Week 4 allowing just 17.0 points per game.
Long-distance travel across country lines into New England presents a demanding physical and tactical road environment for Las Vegas.
NFL analyst Bill Williamson noted that the cross-country trip to Foxborough will be an arduous task for Las Vegas.

Points to YES

The Raiders' passing attack and scoring efficiency improved drastically to open the 2026 season.
Las Vegas averaged 29.3 points per game through three games, led by quarterback Kirk Cousins throwing nine touchdowns.
Patriots offensive turnovers have created major vulnerabilities that Las Vegas can exploit.
Patriots quarterback Drake Maye committed seven giveaways through three games, leaving New England at a minus-five turnover differential.

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