Will Shadowrocket be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?

ResolutionResolved NO

YES payout0¢

NO payout100¢

VenuePolymarket

Realized · held to resolution−100%$100 paper stake

Polymarket29¢ → 0¢

Our position · YES29¢ → 0¢

Signal endedSep 18

Forecast updated

Sep 17 forecast

Shadowrocket held #1 for 114 days before a recent dip, and with high chart stability, it is likely to reclaim the top spot by Thursday.lang:en

The current App Store ranking shows Shadowrocket at #2, behind play_music_theory, which contradicts the forecast that it will be #1 on September 18. However, Shadowrocket held the #1 position for 114 consecutive days until it dropped on September 8. Historical patterns of such long streaks indicate that the app has strong underlying demand and frequently returns to the top after temporary dips. Additionally, the top chart is highly stable, but a short-term disruption like play_music_theory's lead is more likely to reverse within a day given the established user base. The forecast therefore reflects the belief that the current #1 app is a temporary outlier and that Shadowrocket will regain its position by the deadline.

Points to YES

Shadowrocket dominated the #1 paid app slot for 114 consecutive days, indicating sustained popularity.
On 2026-09-08, Shadowrocket was ranked #1 and had been #1 for 114 consecutive days.
Shadowrocket is a well-established $2.99 proxy utility app with a loyal user base.
Shadowrocket is a rule-based proxy utility priced at $2.99 on the Apple App Store.

Points to NO

Shadowrocket currently sits at #2 on the official paid apps chart, behind play_music_theory.
As of the latest available chart, Shadowrocket is ranked #2 on the US App Store Top Paid Apps list.
Top-10 paid apps are highly stable day-to-day, with over 84% of apps retaining their rank.
On 2026-09-16, 85% of top-10 apps held their rank from the previous day.

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