Alabama Crimson Tide won56vs.Mississippi State Bulldogs23

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Sep 26 forecast

Alabama’s prolific offense pairs with overwhelming series dominance, so an Alabama victory is likely.

Alabama has paired an explosive start with long-standing dominance of this matchup, giving it the stronger case to win in Starkville. Mississippi State remains dangerous because Taylor has powered a productive offense, while Alabama recently surrendered repeated explosive passes. The Bulldogs’ improved form, home setting and Alabama’s defensive vulnerability leave meaningful room for an upset, but Alabama’s offensive ceiling and sustained series advantage point to an Alabama win.

Points to Alabama

Alabama has produced enough scoring power to overwhelm opponents even when its defense concedes substantial yardage.
Through September 19, Alabama had scored 143 points across three victories, averaging 47.7 points per game.
Keelon Russell gives Alabama a dynamic passing and rushing threat at quarterback.
On September 19, Russell generated 376 total yards and four touchdowns in Alabama’s 50-36 victory over Florida State.
Alabama has dominated this matchup across multiple teams and coaching eras.
As documented on September 21, Alabama had won 16 consecutive meetings with Mississippi State dating to 2008.

Points to Mississippi State

Kamario Taylor leads a balanced Mississippi State offense capable of pressuring Alabama throughout the game.
Through September 19, Taylor had accounted for 1,010 yards and 12 touchdowns in three games.
Alabama’s pass defense has shown a vulnerability that matches Mississippi State’s offensive strength.
On September 19, Alabama allowed Florida State 377 passing yards and three completions of at least 40 yards.

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