Will Ethereum be at or above $2,450 on Sep 8?

ResolutionResolved YES

YES payout100¢

NO payout0¢

VenueKalshi

Realized · held to resolution+52%$100 paper stake

Kalshi66¢ → 100¢

Our position · YES66¢ → 100¢

Signal endedSep 8

Forecast updated

Sep 8 forecast

Ethereum remains above the threshold with less than a day remaining, so a price of at least $2,450 at settlement is likely.

Ethereum is near $2,475, giving it a modest cushion over the $2,450 threshold shortly before settlement. The daily trend, recent support and exchange withdrawals lean upward, but negative hourly momentum and the narrow buffer leave meaningful uncertainty. The most likely outcome is a volatile final stretch that still ends above the threshold.

Points to YES

Ethereum currently has a modest cushion above the settlement threshold.
On September 8, Ethereum was near $2,475, roughly one percent above $2,450 with less than a day until settlement.
The broader daily trend remains supportive despite weaker intraday trading.
On September 7, Ethereum traded at $2,487.96 above its 20-day, 50-day and 200-day exponential moving averages.
Recent trading has stayed above both the threshold and nearby technical support.
On September 7, Ethereum traded at $2,502.20 while holding above the cited $2,438.85 retracement support level.

Points to NO

Short-term momentum has turned negative at a vulnerable time.
On September 7, Ethereum fell below its 20-period and 50-period hourly averages as RSI dropped to 44.49 and the MACD histogram turned negative.

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