Jacksonville Jaguars won22vs.Cincinnati Bengals17

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Sep 27 forecast

Jacksonville’s stingy defense and turnover edge confront Cincinnati’s vulnerable defense, so a Bengals victory is a meaningful underdog outcome.

Jacksonville is more likely to win after pairing efficient scoring with strong defense and league-leading turnover production through three games. Cincinnati’s defense just allowed substantial yardage, and injuries could further weaken the unit. The Bengals remain a meaningful underdog rather than a long shot because they are at home and Burrow, Chase and Higgins can create touchdowns against difficult game scripts.

Points to Jaguars

Jacksonville’s turnover production can deny Cincinnati the extra possessions it needs.
Through three games as of September 27, Jacksonville had four defensive interceptions and a league-leading plus-four turnover differential.
Cincinnati’s defense enters the matchup after struggling to contain both total offense and the run.
On September 27, Pittsburgh gained 411 yards while Jaylen Warren produced 176 total yards against Cincinnati.
Jacksonville has recently converted scoring opportunities with exceptional efficiency.
On September 27, Jacksonville scored touchdowns on all five red-zone opportunities against New England.

Points to Bengals

Cincinnati’s passing attack remains capable of overcoming defensive problems.
On September 27, Joe Burrow completed 28 of 37 passes for 282 yards and three touchdowns against Pittsburgh.
Cincinnati receives the practical advantage of playing the matchup at home.
The October 4 game is scheduled for Paycor Stadium in Cincinnati.

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