Will there be at least 3 presidential actions in the week of Oct 25, 2026?

ResolutionResolved NO

YES payout0¢

NO payout100¢

VenueKalshi

Realized · held to resolution−100%$100 paper stake

Kalshi44¢ → 0¢

Our position · YES44¢ → 0¢

Signal endedNov 1

Forecast updated

Oct 28 forecast

YES: Q 65.6% · Market odds 65.5% at forecast

Output pace. An executive-actions tracker logged five presidential actions in the seven days ending October 23, 2026.

Main caution: No Presidential Actions entry dated October 25 through October 28 appears on whitehouse.gov yet.

Evidence and updates

Page clustering. The Presidential Actions page routinely lists several items under one displayed date.

Item types. Presidential memoranda appear on the page and count toward the three-item threshold.

Q and odds fall. Q −10.4 pts; odds −9.5 pts since the previous forecast, for YES.

The research packet changed.

Snapshot: 2026-10-28T16:22:13.490010+00:00 · Quote: kalshi-market-v2:midpoint · 2026-10-28T14:06:32.872735+00:00.

Ask Q: Does whitehouse.gov post any Presidential Actions item with a displayed date of October 25-31, 2026 before the November 1, 10:00 AM ET check?

Output pace

An executive-actions tracker recorded 5 presidential actions in the seven days ending October 23, 2026, out of 881 tracked since January 20, 2025.

Page clustering

Multiple Presidential Actions entries share the displayed date October 22, 2026, including the housing-costs executive order and the Defense Production Act petroleum determination.

Item types

The Presidential Actions page includes presidential memoranda among its listed items, such as the entry dated October 7, 2026.

Main caution

The top of the Presidential Actions page listing shows an entry dated October 23, 2026, immediately followed by an entry dated October 22, 2026.

Points to YES

Trump's recent pace of presidential actions is well above the three-item bar, with five recorded in the seven days before the window opened.
An executive-actions tracker recorded 5 presidential actions in the seven days ending October 23, 2026, out of 881 tracked since January 20, 2025.
The Presidential Actions page groups multiple items under one displayed date, and memoranda count toward the total the same as executive orders.
Multiple Presidential Actions entries share the displayed date October 22, 2026, including the housing-costs executive order and the Defense Production Act petroleum determination, and memoranda appear on the page as well.
Trump's overall 2026 output of executive orders is steady enough that a three-item week is a modest ask.
In 2026, Donald J. Trump signed 67 executive orders, from EO 14372 through EO 14438.

Points to NO

No item on the Presidential Actions page currently carries a visible date inside the October 25-31 window.
The top of the Presidential Actions page listing shows an entry dated October 23, 2026, immediately followed by an entry dated October 22, 2026.
Federal Register publication trails signing by at least a day and often several days, so late-week documents may not display in-window dates before the cutoff.
The Office of the Federal Register states there is always a delay of at least one day, and typically several days, between when the President signs a document and when it is published.
The documents published on October 28 all carry October 22 signing dates, showing that fresh Federal Register listings do not automatically create in-window page entries.
Executive Order 14438 carries a Federal Register publication date of 10/28/2026 while being signed on October 22, 2026, and the National Seafood Month proclamation is dated October 22, 2026.

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