Cincinnati Bengals won35vs.Baltimore Ravens13

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Market price

Polymarket

Oct 21 forecast

Ravens: Q 57.9¢ · Market odds 57.5¢ at forecast

Ground game. Baltimore's Derrick Henry should exploit a Cincinnati run defense that ranked 31st in yards per carry allowed.

Main caution: Lamar Jackson's ankle could keep Baltimore's starting quarterback out for a third straight game.

Evidence and updates

Offense. Baltimore's offense ranked third in expected points added per play and second in success rate.

Backup quarterback. Tyler Huntley has won three straight starts for Baltimore, including an overtime comeback at Atlanta.

Q falls; odds steady. Q −2.5¢; odds 0.0¢ since the previous forecast, for Ravens.

Snapshot: 2026-10-21T15:21:28.894086+00:00 · Quote: price_observations · 2026-10-21T15:20:53.634000+00:00.

Ask Q: Did Lamar Jackson practice fully during the week of October 20 and come off the injury report before kickoff?

Ground game

Cincinnati allowed 5.2 yards per carry to running backs in 2025, ranking 31st in that measure.

Offense

Baltimore's offense ranked third in expected points added per play and second in success rate through Week 5.

Backup quarterback

Main caution

Lamar Jackson had not practiced since suffering his ankle injury and was unavailable for Baltimore's second consecutive game on October 18.

Points to Ravens

Baltimore's Derrick Henry-led rushing attack faces a Cincinnati run defense that ranked 31st in yards per carry allowed to running backs, giving the Ravens a reliable path that does not require a healthy Lamar Jackson.
Derrick Henry had rushed for 476 yards and seven touchdowns on 113 carries through five games.
Baltimore's offense has been among the league's most efficient units, ranking third in expected points added per play and second in success rate through Week 5.
Baltimore's offense ranked third in expected points added per play and second in success rate through Week 5.
Tyler Huntley has kept Baltimore winning without Lamar Jackson, having won three straight starts including an overtime comeback at Atlanta.
Tyler Huntley had won his previous three starts dating back to the 2025 season.

Points to Bengals

Lamar Jackson has missed two consecutive games with an ankle injury and had not practiced, leaving availability for the Cincinnati game unresolved.
Lamar Jackson had not practiced since suffering his ankle injury and was unavailable for Baltimore's second consecutive game on October 18.
Cincinnati enters with fourteen days of rest after a Week 6 bye while Baltimore played, a meaningful freshness edge in a division game.
The scheduled rest differential entering the game was 14 days for Cincinnati and seven days for Baltimore.

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