Washington Capitals won3vs.Ottawa Senators2

NHLFinal Overtime24h volume $455k

Market price

Nov 10 forecast

Senators: Q 55¢ · Market odds 54.5¢ at forecast

Goaltending. Linus Ullmark returns to the Ottawa net after leading the league with a 1.33 goals-against average.

Main caution: Ottawa's starter is unconfirmed and Samuel Ersson has struggled badly against Washington.

Evidence and updates

Home record. Ottawa is 6-2-0 at home and has won three of its last four games.

Capitals injuries. Washington is missing defensemen Rasmus Sandin and Vincent Desharnais for the Ottawa trip.

Small update. Q 0.0¢; odds +1.0¢ since the previous forecast, for Senators.

The research packet changed.

Snapshot: 2026-11-10T00:31:42.949981+00:00 · Quote: price_observations · 2026-11-10T00:17:35.041000+00:00.

Ask Q: Confirm Ottawa's starting goaltender before puck drop and whether Ullmark or Ersson faces Washington.

Goaltending

Home record

Capitals injuries

Main caution

Points to Senators

Ottawa activated Linus Ullmark from injured reserve and expects the goaltender who led the league in goals-against average and save percentage before his lower-body strain.
On Nov. 8, Ottawa removed Ullmark from injured reserve and reported Ullmark was 7-1-0 with a 1.33 GAA and .945 save percentage in eight starts.
Ottawa owns a 6-2-0 home record and has won three of its last four games, including a 4-2 home win over Utah.
Ottawa entered the game 11-6-1 overall with a 6-2-0 mark at home as of Nov. 10.

Points to Capitals

Ottawa is missing three forwards for an extended stretch, thinning the depth behind its top line.
As of Nov. 9, Ottawa was without William Eklund, Warren Foegele and Andre Burakovsky, with Eklund out at least 10 more weeks with an ankle injury.
Washington starter Logan Thompson has been markedly better against Ottawa than Ullmark has been against Washington across their careers.
Logan Thompson was 6-1-1 with a 2.36 GAA and .929 save percentage in eight career games versus Ottawa.
Ottawa's underlying numbers have regressed, with below-average possession, a low shooting volume and the league's third-worst power play.
Ottawa's Corsi was 49.04 percent, 18th in the league, and Ottawa averaged 2.57 goals per game with a 13.2 percent power play.

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