Trump renames AI by September 30?

ResolutionResolved YES

YES payout100¢

NO payout0¢

VenuePolymarket

Realized · held to resolution−100%$100 paper stake

Polymarket32¢ → 100¢

Our position · NO68¢ → 0¢

Signal endedSep 29

Forecast updated

Sep 22 forecast

A speech renaming AI to 'Super Intelligence' does not meet the order requirement, so a qualifying executive action by September 30 is unlikely.

President Trump declared 'Super Intelligence' as the new name for AI in his UN address, but the resolution requires a formal executive order, proclamation, or memorandum. As of September 22, no such action has been taken, and previous executive orders still use the standard term. The balance of evidence points against a qualifying action by September 30, but the remaining 8 days leave a narrow window for a late signing, which keeps the outcome unlikely.

Points to NO

Trump's UN declaration to rename AI as 'Super Intelligence' does not constitute an executive order or proclamation, leaving the formal requirement unmet.
President Trump stated during his UN General Assembly address that the technology previously referred to as Artificial Intelligence is 'hereinafter officially called Super Intelligence.'
As of September 22, no executive order, agency directive, or formal implementation plan for renaming AI has been identified.
Reporting as of September 22 identified no executive order, agency directive, or formal standards initiative requiring a new name for artificial intelligence.
Trump's recent Executive Order 14426 continued using 'artificial intelligence' rather than a new name.
President Trump's September 8, 2026 Executive Order 14426 continued to use the standard term 'artificial intelligence' in its operational directives for federal agencies.

Research and information only. Not financial advice or a recommendation to trade. Markets involve risk, including loss of capital. Review venue rules and eligibility before trading.