Dallas Cowboys won34vs.Houston Texans30

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Oct 4 forecast

Dallas has the more productive offense and stronger quarterback play, so a Cowboys victory over the Texans is narrowly favored.

Dallas has the clearer scoring path behind an efficient passing attack and strong third-down execution. Houston can exploit a depleted Dallas defense, especially with Nico Collins returning, and its pass rush creates substantial upset potential. The narrow Dallas edge rests on Prescott’s protection and Houston’s persistent difficulty generating offense.

Points to Cowboys

Dak Prescott’s efficient start gives Dallas the stronger passing foundation.
As of September 30, Prescott had completed 69.5% of his passes for 730 yards, seven touchdowns and one interception through three games.
Houston’s ineffective running game makes its offense more predictable.
On October 3, Houston ranked 30th in rushing offense at 84.7 yards per game.
Houston enters without two defensive starters, easing pressure on the Dallas offense.
On October 1, linebacker Azeez Al-Shaair and safety M.J. Stewart were ruled out with injuries.

Points to Texans

Houston’s pass rush is capable of disrupting Dallas before routes develop.
Entering the October 4 matchup, Houston had recorded 11 sacks through three games, compared with two for Dallas.
Dallas’s defense has allowed opponents to move the ball consistently.
On October 2, Dallas ranked 30th in total defense and was allowing 387 yards per game.
Nico Collins’s return strengthens Houston’s passing attack against a vulnerable Dallas defense.
On October 3, Collins was set to return after missing Houston’s previous two games.

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