Los Angeles Rams26vs.Denver Broncos won30

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Sep 26 forecast

Puka Nacua’s expected absence weakens Los Angeles’ passing attack, so a Broncos victory is narrowly favored.

The early performance data lean toward Los Angeles: the Rams have gained far more yardage, Stafford has produced more touchdowns, and Denver has struggled on third down. Denver is nevertheless narrowly favored because the game is at Mile High, Nacua is expected to miss it, and the Broncos have shown an ability to recover from late deficits.

Points to Broncos

Puka Nacua is not expected to play, weakening the Rams’ receiving corps.
On September 25, Nacua was listed as doubtful after missing all three practices with a hip injury.
Denver has recently performed well at home in prime-time games.
On September 25, Denver entered the matchup seeking a fourth consecutive home prime-time victory.
Denver has generated more early-season pass pressure than Los Angeles.
Through September 21, Denver had recorded four sacks in two games, compared with two for the Rams.

Points to Rams

The Rams have established a substantial early advantage in total offense.
Through September 21, Los Angeles averaged 385.5 yards per game, while Denver averaged 284.
Denver’s third-down execution has repeatedly stalled its offense.
Through September 20, Denver had converted six of 23 third-down attempts.
Jonah Coleman’s absence reduces Denver’s rushing depth.
On September 25, Coleman was ruled out with an ankle injury after missing every practice that week.

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