Kennesaw State Owls won44vs.Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders28

College footballFinal24h volume $984k

Market price

Oct 27 forecast

Middle Tennessee: Q 57.2¢ · Market odds 55.5¢ at forecast

Home record. Middle Tennessee is 3-0 at home and has won two straight games.

Main caution: Kennesaw State has lost three of its last four games by three points or less.

Evidence and updates

Kennesaw State slide. Kennesaw State has lost six straight games and sits 0-3 in conference play.

Turnover margin. Middle Tennessee holds a plus-five turnover margin while Kennesaw State sits even.

Forecast updated. Q +1.5¢; odds 0.0¢ since the previous forecast, for Middle Tennessee.

The research packet changed.

Snapshot: 2026-10-27T23:28:14.881569+00:00 · Quote: price_observations · 2026-10-27T23:03:31.436000+00:00.

Ask Q: Will Kennesaw State start Rickie Collins or Landon Varnes at quarterback, and which team turns the ball over first in Murfreesboro?

Home record

Kennesaw State slide

Turnover margin

Kennesaw State has an even turnover margin (71st in FBS) while Middle Tennessee is +5, ranked 20th.

Main caution

Points to Middle Tennessee

Kennesaw State has lost six consecutive games and sits at 0-3 in Conference USA play.
Kennesaw State fell 34-6 to Liberty on Oct. 22, 2026, its sixth straight loss, dropping the Owls to 1-6 overall.
Kennesaw State's offense has been the least efficient in the country against conference opponents.
Kennesaw State averages 5.33 yards per play in conference games and ranks 133rd nationally in net success rate for 2026.
Middle Tennessee is unbeaten at Floyd Stadium and protects the ball better than Kennesaw State.
Middle Tennessee has won all three of its 2026 home games and holds a plus-five turnover margin, ranked 20th nationally.

Points to Kennesaw State

Middle Tennessee's defense allows 405.9 yards per game and gives Kennesaw State a path to move the ball.
Middle Tennessee allows 405.9 total yards per game, 116th in the FBS, and 194.7 rushing yards per game, 125th in the FBS, in 2026.
Kennesaw State has kept recent games within a field goal, so the gap between the teams is small.
Kennesaw State lost three of its last four games by three points or less and lost three conference games by a combined seven points.

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