Montreal Canadiens5vs.Pittsburgh Penguins won6

NHLFinal Overtime24h volume $218k

Market price

Sep 30 forecast

Pittsburgh’s depleted lineup offsets its home ice and potent attack, so a Canadiens victory is narrowly favored.

Montreal’s stronger prior-season record, productive offense and healthier group of core forwards give it a slight edge. Pittsburgh still has home ice and returns an attack that ranked among the league’s best, while Montreal enters without Kaiden Guhle and could also miss Oliver Kapanen. With neither starting goaltender confirmed, the Canadiens are narrowly favored rather than clear front-runners.

Points to Canadiens

Pittsburgh placed four players on injured reserve, including important contributors Bryan Rust and Ryan Graves.
On September 28, Pittsburgh placed Rust, Graves, Ben Kindel and Blake Lizotte on injured reserve.
Montreal enters after a substantially stronger prior season and a deep playoff run.
Montreal finished 2025-26 at 48-24-10 and reached the Eastern Conference Final.
Montreal already had a productive offense before adding veteran forward Chris Kreider.
Montreal scored 3.40 goals per game during the 2025-26 season.

Points to Penguins

Pittsburgh has home ice for the October 3 matchup.
The Canadiens-Penguins game is scheduled at PPG Paints Arena in Pittsburgh on October 3.
Pittsburgh returns one of the NHL’s most productive attacks from last season.
Pittsburgh finished the 2025-26 season third in the NHL with 3.54 goals per game.
Montreal will miss Kaiden Guhle and may also be without second-line center Oliver Kapanen.
On September 29, Guhle was expected to miss the first seven to ten games, while Kapanen remained day to day with a lower-body injury.

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