Jul 12WinIsrael military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry55%Entry → Exit44¢→100¢Paper return+127.3%
Jul 18WinIran full airspace closure by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry63%Entry → Exit50¢→100¢Paper return+100%
Jul 6WinWill Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry79%Entry → Exit50¢→100¢Paper return+100%
Jul 8WinWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry77%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Jul 13WinIran successfully targets shipping on July 13?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry74%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Oct 2WinWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Jul 14WinIran full airspace closure by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Sep 14WinWill there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by September 15, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Sep 13WinWill Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry85%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Jul 19WinIran full airspace closure by July 24?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry88%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Aug 22WinWill Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Jul 13WinMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Sep 26WinPakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Aug 31WinIsraeli forces enter Nabatieh by September 30?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry96%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Jul 10WinUS-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry92%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Jul 17WinUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry99%Entry → Exit86¢→100¢Paper return+16.3%
Jul 22LossUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry54%Entry → Exit38¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 20LossUS announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry94%Entry → Exit54¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 19LossWill Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit57¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 17LossUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry69%Entry → Exit48¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 17LossUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry86%Entry → Exit66¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 17LossUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit78¢→0¢Paper return−100%
