Oct 2WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.6% for the year ending in September 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry65%Entry → Exit42¢→100¢Paper return+138.1%
Sep 3WinWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.75% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry56%Entry → Exit44¢→100¢Paper return+127.3%
Oct 8WinWill CPI rise more than 0.5% in September 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry67%Entry → Exit52¢→100¢Paper return+92.3%
Sep 3WinWill the Bank of Russia Maintain current rate at the September Bank of Russia Board of Directors’ key rate meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry78%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Sep 1WinWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry74%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Sep 12WinWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry73%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Sep 4WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry76%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Sep 10WinWill CPI rise more than 0.3% in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry87%Entry → Exit63¢→100¢Paper return+58.7%
Aug 31WinWill above 20000 jobs be added in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry82%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Sep 30WinWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in September?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry83%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Sep 2WinWill average **gas prices** be above $4.1400?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry80%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Sep 4WinWill CPI rise more than 0.2% in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry92%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 31WinWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in August?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry87%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Sep 9WinWill Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: U.S. city average, All items, not seasonally adjusted, 1982–84=100 for August 2026 be above 334.750?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry91%Entry → Exit76¢→100¢Paper return+31.6%
Sep 1WinWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in August?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit77¢→100¢Paper return+29.9%
Sep 21WinWill the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit78¢→100¢Paper return+28.2%
Oct 1WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.5% for the year ending in September 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry93%Entry → Exit83¢→100¢Paper return+20.5%
Sep 1WinWill the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.2% for the year ending in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry92%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Sep 1WinWill above -25000 jobs be added in August 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry93%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Sep 10WinWill Narodowy Bank Polski maintain the current rate at the October Monetary Policy Council meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry96%Entry → Exit85¢→100¢Paper return+17.6%
Oct 19LossWill Bank of Canada hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry74%Entry → Exit59¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 9LossWill CPI Core rise more than 0.2% in September?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry80%Entry → Exit65¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 7LossWill the rate of core CPI inflation be above 2.4% for the year ending in September 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry61%Entry → Exit47¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 1LossWill above 40000 jobs be added in September 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry87%Entry → Exit77¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 1LossWill above 70000 jobs be added in September 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry77%Entry → Exit64¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 1LossWill above 50000 jobs be added in September 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry83%Entry → Exit72¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 29LossWill the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 4.00% following the Fed's Oct 28, 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry88%Entry → Exit70¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 19LossWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their October 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry74%Entry → Exit54¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 14LossHow many dissenting votes at the next Fed meeting?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry82%Entry → Exit70¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 4LossWill the average U.S. price of a Dunkin' medium cold brew for September 2026 be at least $4.46?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry90%Entry → Exit80¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 28LossWill the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2026 meeting?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry76%Entry → Exit52¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 14LossWill the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the July Meeting?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry72%Entry → Exit60¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 14LossWill the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit62¢→0¢Paper return−100%
