Jul 14Win0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by July 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit20¢→100¢Paper return+400%
Sep 3WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 3, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry52%Entry → Exit24¢→100¢Paper return+316.7%
Aug 31WinWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on August 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry60%Entry → Exit28¢→100¢Paper return+257.1%
Aug 28WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 82.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 28, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry69%Entry → Exit38¢→100¢Paper return+163.2%
Sep 3WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 92.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 3, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry82%Entry → Exit39¢→100¢Paper return+156.4%
Aug 7WinUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry52%Entry → Exit40¢→100¢Paper return+150%
Jul 12WinWill there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry72%Entry → Exit40¢→100¢Paper return+150%
Jul 24WinWill fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry63%Entry → Exit42¢→100¢Paper return+138.1%
Jul 14WinWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry58%Entry → Exit42¢→100¢Paper return+138.1%
Oct 16WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 95.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 16, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry61%Entry → Exit43¢→100¢Paper return+132.6%
Sep 7WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 92.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 8, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry58%Entry → Exit45¢→100¢Paper return+122.2%
Oct 7WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 7, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry63%Entry → Exit47¢→100¢Paper return+112.8%
Oct 5WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 5, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry62%Entry → Exit47¢→100¢Paper return+112.8%
Sep 4WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be between 90.00 and 90.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry74%Entry → Exit48¢→100¢Paper return+108.3%
Sep 9WinWill the brent crude oil close price be above 99.50 USD/Bbl on September 09, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry79%Entry → Exit50¢→100¢Paper return+100%
Jul 14WinWill the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry70%Entry → Exit51¢→100¢Paper return+96.1%
Oct 6WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 88.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 6, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry75%Entry → Exit52¢→100¢Paper return+92.3%
Sep 9WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 96.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry85%Entry → Exit52¢→100¢Paper return+92.3%
Sep 8WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 92.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 8, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry62%Entry → Exit52¢→100¢Paper return+92.3%
Sep 8WinWill the natural gas close price be above 2.910 USD/MMBtu on September 08, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry68%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Sep 7WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 8, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry65%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Sep 2WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 3, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry82%Entry → Exit56¢→100¢Paper return+78.6%
Jul 12WinIran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit58¢→100¢Paper return+72.4%
Oct 26WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 100.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 26, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry68%Entry → Exit59¢→100¢Paper return+69.5%
Aug 31WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 85.49 USD/Bbl on Aug 31, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry70%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Aug 31WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 86.49 USD/Bbl on Aug 31, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry70%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Aug 30WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.49 USD/Bbl on Aug 31, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry73%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Aug 28WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 82.49 USD/Bbl on Aug 28, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry82%Entry → Exit60¢→100¢Paper return+66.7%
Sep 4WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry75%Entry → Exit61¢→100¢Paper return+63.9%
Aug 25WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 80.49 USD/Bbl on Aug 26, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry89%Entry → Exit61¢→100¢Paper return+63.9%
Sep 5WinWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in September?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry74%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Aug 31WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 85.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 1, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry71%Entry → Exit62¢→100¢Paper return+61.3%
Aug 31WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 1, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry79%Entry → Exit63¢→100¢Paper return+58.7%
Sep 8WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry83%Entry → Exit64¢→100¢Paper return+56.3%
Sep 1WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 87.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 1, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry82%Entry → Exit66¢→100¢Paper return+51.5%
Sep 9WinWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in September?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry75%Entry → Exit67¢→100¢Paper return+49.3%
Jul 12WinWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry82%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Sep 6WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 8, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry79%Entry → Exit68¢→100¢Paper return+47.1%
Sep 3WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 3, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit70¢→100¢Paper return+42.9%
Sep 8WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit71¢→100¢Paper return+40.8%
Aug 26WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 80.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 27, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry89%Entry → Exit71¢→100¢Paper return+40.8%
Sep 8WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 8, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry83%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Sep 4WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Sep 3WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 3, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry84%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 31WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 31, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry84%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Aug 30WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 83.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 31, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit72¢→100¢Paper return+38.9%
Sep 4WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 90.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry84%Entry → Exit74¢→100¢Paper return+35.1%
Aug 31WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 84.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 1, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry86%Entry → Exit75¢→100¢Paper return+33.3%
Sep 8WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry87%Entry → Exit77¢→100¢Paper return+29.9%
Aug 30WinWill the gold close price be above 4411.99 USD/t.oz on August 31, 2026 at 5:00 PM EDT?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry93%Entry → Exit79¢→100¢Paper return+26.6%
Sep 8WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry91%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Sep 7WinIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 21?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit80¢→100¢Paper return+25%
Sep 4WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 4, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry93%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Sep 3WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 88.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 3, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry92%Entry → Exit82¢→100¢Paper return+22%
Sep 4WinWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry91%Entry → Exit83¢→100¢Paper return+20.5%
Sep 6WinWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 89.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 8, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry93%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Aug 31WinIran charges Hormuz fees by September 30?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry93%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Aug 27WinUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry98%Entry → Exit84¢→100¢Paper return+19%
Oct 27LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 99.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 27, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry65%Entry → Exit48¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 23LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 102.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 23, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry68%Entry → Exit51¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 21LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 98.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 21, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry65%Entry → Exit42¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 20LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 97.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 20, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry79%Entry → Exit62¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 15LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 94.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 15, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry65%Entry → Exit46¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 13LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 92.99 USD/Bbl on Oct 13, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry66%Entry → Exit46¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Oct 9LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 91.49 USD/Bbl on Oct 9, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry69%Entry → Exit51¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 9LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 95.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry58%Entry → Exit26¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 9LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 95.49 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry63%Entry → Exit40¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 9LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 94.99 USD/Bbl on Sep 9, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry70%Entry → Exit60¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 3LossWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in September?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry75%Entry → Exit64¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 3LossWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry72%Entry → Exit62¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Sep 1LossWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 Week of August 31 2026?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry72%Entry → Exit63¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 31LossWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in September?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry67%Entry → Exit57¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 31LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 85.99 USD/Bbl on Aug 31, 2026?Q → YESKalshiQ at entry61%Entry → Exit38¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 31LossWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in September?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry59%Entry → Exit40¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 27LossWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry62%Entry → Exit39¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 27LossWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August?Q → NOPolymarketQ at entry71%Entry → Exit50¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 27LossWill the WTI crude oil settlement price be above 82.49 USD/Bbl on Aug 27, 2026?Q → NOKalshiQ at entry63%Entry → Exit29¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 27LossIran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry67%Entry → Exit57¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 24LossWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry55%Entry → Exit40¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Aug 10LossWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in August?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry80%Entry → Exit68¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 14LossWill 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry74%Entry → Exit36¢→0¢Paper return−100%
Jul 12LossWill the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?Q → YESPolymarketQ at entry66%Entry → Exit28¢→0¢Paper return−100%
